Two of the foremost important takeaways from the October 6, Quad security dialogue were that US confrontation with China over Taiwan has the potential of great escalation which Washington blames Beijing for not only the worldwide pandemic butalso for the economic hit on the American economy on the eve of Presidential elections.
While India is legitimately worried about the on-going military stand-off with the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) in East Ladakh the three other Quad powers were far more concerned about China’s bellicose moves on Taiwan. With us Navy super carriers and destroyers patrolling the South China Sea, there’s serious military friction over Beijing’s bullying of Taiwan.
Indo-US interlocution and diplomatic feedback from the Indo-Pacific indicates that Beijing’s “One China” mantra may come under question if US President Donald Trump returns to power, although the Biden campaign has signaled that it too will take the position on China. The legislation introduced in Capitol Hill over Tibet and Xinjiang, and thus the military moves over Taiwan and South China Sea are clear indicators that the “One China” policy could be called out by Washington — although some experts believe that the Trump administration is additionally applying the squeeze on China within the hope that a possible international incident could help the incumbent President in an election where he’s trailing his opponent.
While China wants the earth to recognize the “One China” policy as a matter of its right, it evidently has no respect for sovereignty of others including India, Japan (Senkaku Islands) and Russia (Vladivostok). China doesn’t recognise Ladakh but wants India to recognise its occupation of Tibet, Xinjiang, and thus the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) construction in Occupied Kashmir and Gilgit-Baltistan. And actually, it can always be sanctimonious over Jammu and Kashmir, more so when politically desperate Valley politicians are apparently asking Beijing to intercede on their behalf.
China watchers in New Delhi believe that the PLA aggression in Ladakh is directly linked to the security of the CPEC in PoK and Northern Areas. The PLA has made out a case that the new Ladakh map published after the abrogation of Article 370 on August 5, 2019 indicates that India will put pressure on CPEC in Gilgit-Baltistan. this is often also the rationale that Beijing convinced Pakistan to declare Gilgit-Baltistan because the fifth province — albeit this compromised Rawalpindi’s decades-old Kashmir agenda.
At a subterranean level, Beijing has involved both Nepal and Pakistan for abrogating the Buddhist cultural plank from India by highlighting the place of birth of Prince Siddharth (in Nepal) and thus the prominent Gandhara school that flourished (in Pakistan) before Islam swept through the Af-Pak region. So what if Siddharth became Buddha in Bodh Gaya within the guts of Bihar.
PLA rotates LAC troops, shows hand
The world of Buddhism is getting to be further complicated by China within the approaching years over the reincarnation of the 14th Dalai Lama . While the exiled leader continues to be fashionable a Buddhist temple dedicated to him being inbuilt Tuva in Russian Siberia, Bejing’s Sinicization of Tibet will put very serious pressure on the very institution of Dalai Lama itself in coming years.
However, Beijing is least bothered about global statements. Its expansion plans have picked up steam after a weak global response to Beijing’s introduction of security laws in Hong Kong and thus the refore near-absolute silence of ASEAN countries over events in Taiwan and therefore the South China Sea because of the large economic clout of the middle kingdom. Beijing has refused to be a neighborhood of any limitation negotiations despite rapidly growing nuclear arsenal and delivery platforms. The PLA’s cyber offensive capabilities now match the only within the planet but it’s no intention of joining the proposed US-Russia cyber talks.
The time has come to call out China for the worldwide bully it’s before it becomes the hegemon it wants to be.