The National Democratic Alliance (NDA) has won the 2020 state Assembly Election. when state, the main focus currently shifts to West Bengal. In most components, the state result’s unlikely to possess an on the spot bearing, however the election in geographic area is six months away, and in politics, that’s an extended break.
There is, however, one issue which will weigh in heavily across the border — the success of Asaduddin Owaisi, whose party AIMIM has been levelled by several as a ‘vote-cutter’.
Asaduddin Owaisi’s All Bharat Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen (AIMIM) picked up 5 crucial seats within the Muslim-dominated Seemanchal region of north state, securing 1.24 per cent of total votes polled, and denting the Mahagatbandhan in state. of those 5, 2 were won by the Congress and one by the RJD in 2015.
Buoyed by the success in state, particularly in bordering areas of geographic area, Asaduddin Owaisi on Tues proclaimed that his party can contest election in West Bengal next.
Reacting to allegations that his party was dividing anti-BJP votes, Owaisi aforementioned he was running a party that features a right to contest on its own.
“You mean we should always not fight elections. You [Congress] went and weekday within the knife Sena’s lap [in Maharashtra]. If anyone asks why did you fight the elections…I will fight in West Bengal, state and can fight each election within the country… Do i want to raise anyone’s permission to fight the polls,” he aforementioned once asked if the party can contest in different states.
TMC-Congress on the rear foot
With AIMIM quick gaining ground among Muslim youth across states, parties in geographic area, particularly the ruling Trinamool Congress is cautious of this challenge. Already, each the TMC and therefore the Congress have defendant Owaisi of being a proxy for the BJP.
“Muslims got fooled by him. The BJP used him. Those votes ought to have gone to the lay front however visited him. All lay parties ought to take care of vote cutter Owaisi sahab,” aforementioned Congress MP Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury.
Chowdhury could be a five-time MP from Behrampore in Mursdidabad district, that has the best concentration of Muslim population in geographic area.
In Birbhum, TMC strongman Anubrata Mondal echoed Chowdhury and aforementioned, “You all recognize AIMIM. they’re BJP’s biggest dalal. they need spoilt the results of many seats in state. They claim to be pro-Muslim however they’re truly a proxy for BJP. nobody ought to trust them.”
The Muslim consider geographic area
Bengal’s twenty seven per cent Muslim vote has been the deciding issue on World Health Organization wrests power within the state. within the recent election, Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress got the lion’s share of the Muslim vote, whereas Congress managed to retain its recent bastions in Muslim majority Malda and Murshidabad districts.
With the AIMIM’s entry as a well-liked Muslim party, matters could amendment.
Three districts in north geographic area have a transparent Muslim majority — Murshidabad (66 per cent), Malda (51 per cent) and North Dinajpur (49 per cent). Six districts — Coochbehar (25 per cent), Birbhum (37 per cent), South twenty four Pargana (35 per cent), North twenty four Paraganas (25 per cent), Howrah (26 per cent), Nadia (26 per cent) — have quite twenty five per cent Muslim population.
The other districts with quite ten per cent of the population ar Bardhman twenty.73 per cent Dakshin Dinaj twenty four.63 per cent, Hooghly 15.77 per cent, Kolkata 20.6 per cent, Pashchim Medinipur ten.49 per cent and Purba Medinipur fourteen.59 per cent.
Overall, there ar sixteen districts in geographic area that have quite ten per cent Muslim population. Of these16 districts, twelve have quite twenty per cent Muslim population.
Of the entire 294 Assembly constituencies, there ar regarding ninety seats that have a sizeable Muslim voters. that method they swing are going to be a deciding issue. The AIMIM might not win several seats, however it will sure enough play a spoiler.
In case of a four-cornered fight between the TMC, BJP, Congress-Left mix (possible alliance) and AIMIM, fragmentation of the Muslim vote can provides a definitive edge to the BJP. Last year’s Lok Sabha election end in Raiganj (North Dinajpur) being a case in hand.
A long-time Congress fastness below Priya Ranjan Dasmunshi, the BJP got an opportunity ending in Raiganj securing a forty per cent vote share, defeating CPIM veteran MD terrorist. TMC secured thirty five per cent vote, CPIM got fourteen per cent whereas the Congress bagged vi per cent votes.
Well aware of the threat to her prized possession, TMC big shot Mamata Banerjee had plumbed caution well earlier than time last year.
Warning against the increase of “minority extremism” propelled by teams based mostly outside geographic area, Banerjee aforementioned, “There ar some extremists inside the minority community. they’re being funded by the BJP. they’re based mostly out of Hyderabad. they’re conducting conferences here, telling Muslims that they’re going to shield them. don’t fall for it my minority brothers and sisters.”
Experts feel Owaisi’s rise as a pan-Indian Muslim face has been within the creating for quite it slow, particularly with Muslims losing area within the thought parties with the increase of Hindutva politics.
“Owaisi sees himself as a pan-Indian leader. Naturally, he’s golf shot up candidates all over. Rise of such a pan-India Muslim leader can sure enough provide some advantage to the BJP. There can’t be a Hindu Mahasabha while not a Muslim league. If you do not have a contemporary Jinnah in Owaisi, then however will the RSS/BJP move ahead. they have Owaisi quite he desires himself!” says veteran journalist Suvojit Bagchi.]